Archive for June, 2010

Portfolio Equity Allocation Changes for Starmont Clients

Tuesday, June 29th, 2010

A letter from Harvey Rowen, CEO and CIO, Starmont Asset Management LLC

 To Our Valued Clients:

We are lowering portfolio equity allocations so that no Starmont Client has more than 40% of his/her/their/its portfolio in equities—down from 50%.

The decision over the weekend of June 26-27 by the G-20 to forego any further stimulus and to start cutting budgets (firing people) has made the market very nervous about global growth going forward, as was evidenced in recent stock market declines.

While President Obama said that the United States would follow a somewhat different path and keep stimulating now, and then half the US deficit by 2013 once we were out of the recession, it is unlikely that he can get any further stimulus legislation through Congress. This raises the question of where jobs are going to come from, and without jobs, what will drive growth in the United States and abroad?

On the positive side, the current concern about growth has in all likelihood delayed the Fed from raising the Fed Funds rate until sometime in 2011. The proceeds of the equity sales we are now making will go into fixed income, which is showing positive returns for the year, and we should not have to worry about rising interest rates (and lower values on outstanding bonds) for a while.

Best Regards,

Harvey Rowen

Starmont CEO Harvey Rowen Quoted in the San Francisco Chronicle

Monday, June 21st, 2010

Exciting news! San Francisco Columnist Kathleen Pender has quoted Starmont CEO Harvey Rowen in her Sunday June 13, 2010 column. The mention came from a lengthy conversation between Pender and Rowen about his views on the recent run up in gold prices, what is going on in the market and what investors are doing in response to recent market action.

Beware of Greeks Bearing Gilts: Virgil, The Aeneid, with Help from the International Monetary Fund

Wednesday, June 2nd, 2010

May was a hell of a month. And mostly all bad.  Indeed it was the worst May since 1940 for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Major domestic stock averages covering large cap stocks were down around 8%, wiping out the gains of January through April, and making the year slightly negative for those indexes. International averages were worse. But small and mid cap stock indexes, although down in May, are still positive for the year.

Volatility was extreme—with ups and downs reminiscent of an “E” ride at Disneyland.  The Dow posted triple digit losses or gains in 14 of 20 trading sessions in May.

And on May 6th the computers that drive the U.S. stock exchanges blew up, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1,000 points, and then up 1,000 points, all in the space of less than an hour.  Exchanges and the Securities and Exchange Commission still are not sure what caused the problem—or how to fix it.

The so called “Flash Crash” unsettled investors.  And then fears about Greek sovereign debt problems spreading to the other PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, and Spain), oil spilling out into the Gulf Coast with no way of stopping it yet discovered, North and South Korea stepping up their military stances over the sinking of a South Korean naval vessel, and elections showing a very unhappy and unsettled electorate in the United States, simply overwhelmed the improvement in economic numbers announced during the month.

Fear triumphed over fundamentals.

All of this raises questions about where things go from here—and how to invest your money so as to preserve and grow your net worth so that you can have the life you want to live.

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