Posts Tagged ‘Congress’

Client Communication: Welcome Back From Labor Day, Oh What A Summer

Monday, September 12th, 2011

September 5, 2011  

To Our Valued Clients and Friends,

Welcome back. 

Labor Day marks the end of the summer season (even though Autumn does not officially begin until September 23rd).  Kids go back to school, or off to college.  The baseball season enters its final days, and the football season kicks in.  Everyone comes back from vacation, and the pace of life picks up. The weather turns cooler (except that I am predicting a very hot Indian summer here in the Bay Area); swim suits get put away and sweaters and jackets begin to appear.

It has been a full summer for the Starmont community.  People got married; people got divorced.  Babies were born and others were conceived and are cooking for delivery in other seasons. No one in the Starmont community died, but we have had deaths in the past and expect them in the future. People went away—on trips across the United States; to Canada, Mexico, South America, Europe, Asia and the Pacific.  People stayed home and had staycations.  Body and soul were nourished and made ready for whatever is to come.

During the summer the global economy slowed and the U.S. debt rating was lowered from AAA to AA+ for the first time in history. (more…)

Client Communication: More on the Debt Ceiling

Tuesday, July 19th, 2011

To Our Valued Clients,

We sent to you a week ago an e-mail that included a discussion of what is going on with the debt ceiling legislation under a heading that read, “July Could Be A Volatile Month-Buckle Up.” If you didn’t have a chance to read it, here is a link:  http://www.starmont.com/2011/07/market-and-debt-ceiling-update/

Where Are We Now?

The date at which the United States Treasury runs out of cash and could start defaulting on the payment of principal and interest on Treasury bills, notes and bonds is only 15 days away.

No resolution is in sight from the White House and Congress, although there are numerous plans being floated in Washington.

Stock and bond markets have been rather blasé about this until today, when the Dow closed down around 100 points. As the drop dead date of August 2nd gets closer with no resolution, we expect increased volatility in the markets.

Ask just about anyone in the investments business why there has been little interest in this topic and they will say, “It’s all a bunch of political posturing, and by August 2nd they will have raised the debt ceiling.”

Maybe. But maybe not.

And the consequences of Maybe Not could be severe.

We are only speculating, since the United States has never defaulted on its debt in its over 200 year history as a country. But here is what could happen:

(more…)

More on the Debt Ceiling from Harvey Rowen on MSN.Money.com

Monday, July 18th, 2011

Starmont’s Harvey Rowen and Christine Benz of Morningstar, were quoted by the Associated Press regarding the Debt Ceiling, Congress and Client portfolios.

Click here to see Mark Jewel’s July 14, 2011 article, “7 tips for rebalancing your fund portfolio now” on MSN.Money.com

Client Communication: Market and Debt Ceiling Update

Monday, July 11th, 2011

To Our Valued Clients and Friends

 June started out badly, but rallied at the end of the month and closed only moderately down for the month.  (Markets were down for the month, but are up for the year.  See below).

 The major U.S. stock indexes were down from 1% to 2.5% for the month.  The EAFE index (Developed International Markets) was down 1.2%, and the iShares EEM (Emerging International Markets) was down 0.94%.  For the year through June 30th, all major domestic and international stock indexes are up, from 8.6% for the DJIA and Russell 2000 (domestic small cap) Growth; to 0.91% for the iShares EEM.

Domestic and international bond indexes were negative for the month, with the Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index down 0.45% and the Barclays Capital Global Treasury Ex-US Index down 0.01%.  For the year through June 30th these indexes are positive.

Commodities and REITs, both domestic and international, were negative in June, and the commodity index has gone negative for the year.

All Starmont Client portfolios are positive for 2011 through June 30th—with the amount dependent on how their assets are allocated among the various asset groups.  So far in 2011 the higher the allocation to equities, the better the portfolio performance.  Your First Half Reports will be sent to you later in the month.

July Could Be A Volatile Month—Buckle Up!

(more…)

Congress and the Debt Ceiling – Starmont’s Harvey Rowen interviewed on MarketWatch.com

Tuesday, July 5th, 2011

Click on the link below to see Harvey Rowen on MarketWatch.com discuss the dangers if Congress does not pass the legislation raising the debt ceiling this month.

US Knocking At Debt’s Door

Higher Taxes on Their Way—Steps You Need to Take Now!

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

Americans are facing a large tax increase in 2011 unless Congress enacts legislation to prevent it. There appear to be three windows of opportunity for Congress to act:

  1. 1. When they come back in session after Labor Day and before they go away for the elections in November;
  2. 2. In a lame duck session after the elections and before this Congress adjourns;
  3. 3. Next year after the new Congress convenes in January, if it were to pass legislation retroactive to
    January 1, 2011.

Our view is that nothing will get done by this Congress this year (indeed, so many incumbents are likely to get defeated in November that they may decide not to have a lame duck session, and the chances of anything except talk happening before the election seems remote in our view).

If we are correct, then on January 1, 2011, the following happens:

  • - Income tax rates go up for everyone, with the top bracket going from 35% to 39.6%
  • - Long term capital gains tax rates go to 20% from the current 15%
  • - Taxes on dividends go from the current 15% to 36.9%
  • - Estate taxes are re-imposed at 55% with a $1 million per person exemption compared to the 2009 rate of 45% with a $3.5 million per person exemption (there is no estate tax in the United States in 2010)

Thus you may want to meet with your tax advisor to discuss the following:

  • - Should you accelerate income into 2010 and defer deductions to 2011 (the reverse of the usual advice)?
  • - Should you take more than your required minimum deduction from your tax-deferred account(s) in 2010, paying at the lower 2010 income tax rate and lessening the amount in those accounts that will be withdrawn in later years at higher income tax rates?
  • - If you are younger than 70 years and 6 months and older than 59 years and 6 months, should you take money out of your IRA account for the same reason?
  • - Should you convert some or all of your IRA money into a Roth IRA for the same reason?
  • - Should you take capital gains in your taxable account(s) before December 31st in order to take capital gains at this year’s lower rate?
  • - Do you need to make any changes to your estate plan in light of the significantly lower exemption ($2 million per couple vs. $7 million per couple in 2009) and the higher estate tax rate?

For Starmont clients, we would be happy to be part of those conversations, either in person or by phone.

Click to Read General & Research/Outlook Disclosures