Posts Tagged ‘Interest Rates’

Client Communication: Market and Debt Ceiling Update

Monday, July 11th, 2011

To Our Valued Clients and Friends

 June started out badly, but rallied at the end of the month and closed only moderately down for the month.  (Markets were down for the month, but are up for the year.  See below).

 The major U.S. stock indexes were down from 1% to 2.5% for the month.  The EAFE index (Developed International Markets) was down 1.2%, and the iShares EEM (Emerging International Markets) was down 0.94%.  For the year through June 30th, all major domestic and international stock indexes are up, from 8.6% for the DJIA and Russell 2000 (domestic small cap) Growth; to 0.91% for the iShares EEM.

Domestic and international bond indexes were negative for the month, with the Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index down 0.45% and the Barclays Capital Global Treasury Ex-US Index down 0.01%.  For the year through June 30th these indexes are positive.

Commodities and REITs, both domestic and international, were negative in June, and the commodity index has gone negative for the year.

All Starmont Client portfolios are positive for 2011 through June 30th—with the amount dependent on how their assets are allocated among the various asset groups.  So far in 2011 the higher the allocation to equities, the better the portfolio performance.  Your First Half Reports will be sent to you later in the month.

July Could Be A Volatile Month—Buckle Up!

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Congress and the Debt Ceiling – Starmont’s Harvey Rowen interviewed on MarketWatch.com

Tuesday, July 5th, 2011

Click on the link below to see Harvey Rowen on MarketWatch.com discuss the dangers if Congress does not pass the legislation raising the debt ceiling this month.

US Knocking At Debt’s Door

WARNING! High Interest Rates and High Tax Rates Can Be Dangerous to Your Wealth

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

Cigarette makers are required to put health warnings on their cigarette packages.  Maybe the Government should be required to put wealth warnings on its decisions.

Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Ben Bernanke has released a game plan for raising interest rates, and has already started to implement that decision with the Fed raising the Discount Rate on February 19th.  Other rate rises are sure to come, including rises in the Federal Funds rate—it’s just not clear when and by how much.  Rising interest rates mean lower bond valuations for outstanding bonds and higher costs to individuals and businesses carrying various kinds of debt.

The so called Bush tax cuts are scheduled to expire on December 31st of this year.  Absent legislation (which is unlikely to come from the current dysfunctional Congress), income tax rates, capital gains tax rates, and estate tax rates will rise January 1, 2011. 

Investment accounts need to reviewed and adjusted as necessary in light of these developments. (more…)

Click to Read General & Research/Outlook Disclosures